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To measure the accuracy of your own projections at that time, Burke made use of a metric called imply sheer mistake (MAE). This is basically the average of your natural difference in the newest projected wins plus the actual winnings totals to own confirmed 12 months. If the MAE to own a projection is actually 3.0, it could mean the fresh projection is from by typically 3.0 online game in both direction. Needless to say, small the brand new MAE, the better the brand new prediction.

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